Sports betting is often very profitable if you know the techniques this “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make funds. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a best illustration. I analyzed this West Florida vs. Louisville sport, and concluded of which West Virginia had the particular edge in the video game. Yet , I also recognized that there are a whole lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not wager on that game. Here is my own analysis I released just before the game:
West Florida or Louisville
This video game possesses all the indications of being one involving the most effective games regarding the year, together with each teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, having Western world Virginia coming back again from being down large in the independence day quarter to winning within overtime.
So what’s the sport search like this year?
In the event this game were appearing played with a new neutral field, West Las vegas will probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since this game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia will be on an unprecedented roll. Many people haven’t lost considering July. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they lost to Virginia Tech. On the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 activities overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 STREET games.
These types of are some very remarkable stats that tilt this scales in favor involving WVU intended for tonight’s online. Plus, typically the extra benefit is that WVU is definitely GETTING +1 point. This may not seem to be like substantially, but in a close match-up such as this, that spare point might make the change between a new push plus a loss.
But what regarding UFABET ?
Louisville’s stats are generally almost as good as WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their very own previous 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS inside their previous 10 home activities.
In addition to if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in your own home since December 18, the year 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points for every game in your house, while hitting only quitting 15. seven points each game at home. In case anyone decided not to do the mathematics, that means since their very own last home decline they also have averaged beating their particular opposing team simply by about thirty four details per game.
Even greater impressive, the average line during these games has only recently been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten often the spread, on average, by way of 13 items per activity at home since 2003.
Wow… how can a person go against that?
Here’s how…
Nearly all of those stats were piled up during the 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been closer to fine than great. They have already acquired recent games where they’ve only scored 36, twenty three, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Ohio Saint. or Michigan. These people were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.
In essence that will this is still a new close match to call. Yet what I look intended for is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s not any cause to think WVU can’t have one to the low to mid 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is to lay off this particular game and certainly not wager at all. There are better video games this weekend break with more simple advantages.
The final score of the game was Louisville 46, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to gain some sort of punt for a good TD. The results was that West Virginia’s borders wasn’t so big they will may still win right after doing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this activity, people severe regarding wagering saved money they will can offer better make use of on forthcoming games.